AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 17

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:3
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

WBSCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
3.22.2
High danger
23
Chances
1211
Shots
3417

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal17
12Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances3
3.19Expected goals2.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–65–21–01.0–0.5
2nd12–54–30–11.0–0.6
3rd11–53–51–21.0–0.9
OT1–10–10–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:041:43+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
3.19
GSAx
+1.19
Shots faced
17
Saves
14
Allowed
3
xGA
2.17
GSAx
-0.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:14Penalty
  • 1st 14:41Penalty
  • 2nd 0:25Justin Pearson (0–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 10:44Penalty
  • 2nd 10:58Vinnie Hinostroza (1–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 49 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 15:27Penalty
  • 3rd 6:27Penalty
  • 3rd 8:43Sam Poulin (2–1)low · 33 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 10:27Penalty
  • 3rd 18:39David Jiříček (2–2)medium · slap · 57 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • OT 1:01Penalty
  • OT 2:57Stanislav Svozil (2–3)5v4 · medium · 57 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist