Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

5:2

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

WBSCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

79%21%

xG: 3.72.2
High danger: 64
Chances: 126
Shots: 4027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal27

12Scoring chances6

6High-danger chances4

3.67Expected goals2.16

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–8	2–2	1–2	0.9–0.6
2nd	18–6	6–1	3–0	1.8–0.6
3rd	10–13	4–3	2–2	1.0–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:08 of the 3rd	7:52	7:52	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Malcolm Subban

Shots faced: 40
Saves: 35
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.67
GSAx: -1.33

Joel Blomqvist

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 25
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: +0.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 5:45Jagger Joshua (1–0)medium · tip · 9 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
1st 6:13Penalty
1st 7:14Penalty
1st 14:41Penalty
1st 15:11Jake Gaudet (1–1)5v4 · high · tip · 18 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
1st 16:42Radim Zohorna (2–1)low · 61 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
2nd 2:13Penalty
2nd 5:36Vasily Ponomarev (3–1)medium · tip · rebound · 17 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
2nd 6:55Penalty
2nd 18:11James Malatesta (3–2)low · 24 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
3rd 4:16Radim Zohorna (4–2)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
3rd 6:59Penalty
3rd 6:59Penalty
3rd 6:59Penalty
3rd 6:59Penalty
3rd 6:59Penalty
3rd 8:54Penalty
3rd 17:34Penalty
3rd 18:03Penalty
3rd 18:03Penalty
3rd 18:03Penalty
3rd 18:03Radim Zohorna (5–2)5v4 · high · tip · 13 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
3rd 19:04Penalty