Grand Rapids Griffins at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Grand Rapids Griffins

1:5

Final

Manitoba Moose

The sheet

GRMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

35%65%

xG: 1.32.2
High danger: 34
Chances: 69
Shots: 1422

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

MB above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

14Shots on goal22

6Scoring chances9

3High-danger chances4

1.32Expected goals2.21

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–10	1–3	0–1	0.3–0.8
2nd	6–4	4–2	3–1	0.9–0.4
3rd	4–8	1–4	0–2	0.2–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 17
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.21
GSAx: -2.79

Thomas Milic

Shots faced: 14
Saves: 13
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.32
GSAx: +0.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:22Dawson Barteaux (0–1)low · 21 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
1st 10:29Penalty
1st 11:56Parker Ford (0–2)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
1st 13:36Penalty
1st 14:19Jeffrey Viel (0–3)4v5 · high · 20 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
1st 16:53Penalty
2nd 3:16Axel Jonsson-Fjällby (0–4)medium · 26 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
2nd 5:30Penalty
2nd 5:56Penalty
2nd 7:13Elmer Söderblom (1–4)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Thomas Milic
2nd 12:37Brad Lambert (1–5)low · 36 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
2nd 18:52Penalty
3rd 6:50Penalty
3rd 13:37Penalty