AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 20

San Diego Gulls at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

San Diego Gulls
4:6
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

SDSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.93.6
High danger
26
Chances
1111
Shots
4141

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

41Shots on goal41
11Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances6
2.87Expected goals3.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–181–50–20.3–1.4
2nd13–138–22–11.6–1.1
3rd22–102–40–31.0–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD213:19 of the 3rd6:416:41+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Calle Clang
Shots faced
41
Saves
35
Allowed
6
xGA
3.61
GSAx
-2.39
Eetu Makiniemi
Shots faced
30
Saves
30
Allowed
0
xGA
1.84
GSAx
+1.84
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
11
Saves
7
Allowed
4
xGA
1.02
GSAx
-2.98

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:29Josh Lopina (1–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 18:07Nikolai Knyzhov (1–1)low · rebound · 39 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 18:46Brandon Coe (1–2)grade A · 11 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 19:23Penalty
  • 2nd 5:50Penalty
  • 2nd 6:34Trevor Carrick (2–2)5v4 · low · 56 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 7:53Nikita Nesterenko (3–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 9:15Tristen Robins (3–3)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 9:34Nathan Gaucher (4–3)medium · 36 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 18:54Joe Carroll (4–4)low · 53 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 3:35Ethan Cardwell (4–5)high · 8 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 13:19Shakir Mukhamadullin (4–6)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Calle Clang