AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 20

Bakersfield Condors at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Bakersfield Condors
3:2
Final / SO
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

BAKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
3.92.2
High danger
93
Chances
178
Shots
4629

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

46Shots on goal29
17Scoring chances8
9High-danger chances3
3.87Expected goals2.16

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–96–24–21.2–0.8
2nd13–85–23–01.2–0.6
3rd17–96–42–11.3–0.6
OT2–30–00–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
46
Saves
44
Allowed
2
xGA
3.87
GSAx
+1.87
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.16
GSAx
+0.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:54Penalty
  • 1st 12:48Penalty
  • 1st 14:10Max Wanner (1–0)4v5 · low · slap · 36 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 1st 17:47Penalty
  • 2nd 12:26Sam Morton (1–1)medium · snap · 8 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 18:04Penalty
  • 3rd 3:32Penalty
  • 3rd 3:32Penalty
  • 3rd 5:22Dylan Holloway (2–1)medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 3rd 5:57Adam Klapka (2–2)medium · wrist · 22 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 16:21Penalty