AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 22

Hershey Bears at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Hershey Bears
6:3
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

HERCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
79%21%
xG
4.32.3
High danger
83
Chances
157
Shots
3925

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal25
15Scoring chances7
8High-danger chances3
4.35Expected goals2.29

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st18–108–35–12.4–1.1
2nd11–44–11–00.9–0.3
3rd10–113–32–21.1–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE30:00 of the 3rd20:0019:41+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
39
Saves
33
Allowed
6
xGA
4.35
GSAx
-1.65
Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-0.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:51Matt Strome (1–0)low · snap · 7 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 6:02Alex Whelan (1–1)grade A · snap · 14 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 15:06Penalty
  • 1st 15:06Penalty
  • 1st 16:20Pierrick Dubé (2–1)high · snap · 11 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 18:44Ethen Frank (3–1)medium · snap · 28 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 1:35Penalty
  • 2nd 5:09Jimmy Huntington (4–1)medium · snap · 30 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 15:59Penalty
  • 3rd 2:29Penalty
  • 3rd 8:53Penalty
  • 3rd 10:18Penalty
  • 3rd 11:49Jake Gaudet (4–2)5v4 · high · tip · rebound · 13 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 14:08Henrik Rybinski (5–2)high · snap · 13 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 15:44Tyler Angle (5–3)low · snap · 25 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 18:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:56Bogdan Trineyev (6–3)empty net · low · snap · 34 ft · beat Jet Greaves