AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 22

Charlotte Checkers at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Charlotte Checkers
2:0
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

CLTSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
3.73.3
High danger
77
Chances
1716
Shots
3531

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal31
17Scoring chances16
7High-danger chances7
3.72Expected goals3.33

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17–129–62–11.7–1.2
2nd9–92–51–40.7–1.1
3rd9–106–54–21.3–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.72
GSAx
+1.72
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
31
Saves
31
Allowed
0
xGA
3.33
GSAx
+3.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:20Penalty
  • 1st 9:19Penalty
  • 1st 15:24Penalty
  • 2nd 0:47Penalty
  • 2nd 9:07Penalty
  • 2nd 11:54Penalty
  • 2nd 15:03Penalty
  • 2nd 15:03Penalty
  • 2nd 17:41Michael Benning (1–0)low · 64 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 1:44Will Lockwood (2–0)medium · 19 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 3:03Penalty
  • 3rd 14:19Penalty
  • 3rd 14:48Penalty