AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 22

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
3:4
Final / SO
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

CVBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.62.6
High danger
24
Chances
67
Shots
3734

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal34
6Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances4
2.60Expected goals2.64

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–100–20–20.4–0.9
2nd16–103–31–11.2–0.8
3rd9–133–21–10.7–0.9
OT3–10–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
34
Allowed
3
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-0.40
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
2.64
GSAx
-0.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:41Penalty
  • 1st 4:38Lane Pederson (0–1)low · wrist · 12 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 1st 8:44Raphael Lavoie (0–2)low · wrist · 9 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 4:53Penalty
  • 2nd 9:13Tucker Robertson (1–2)low · wrist · 23 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 10:26Penalty
  • 2nd 17:02Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Cameron Hughes (2–2)low · wrist · 26 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 10:23Luke Henman (3–2)high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 10:43Penalty
  • 3rd 10:43Alex Peters (3–3)low · wrist · 108 ft · beat Aleš Stezka