AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 23

Hershey Bears at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Hershey Bears
5:0
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

HERCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
3.21.5
High danger
33
Chances
135
Shots
2820

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal20
13Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances3
3.16Expected goals1.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–62–20–10.5–0.5
2nd9–73–00–00.7–0.3
3rd12–78–33–21.9–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE310:10 of the 3rd9:509:50+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
3.16
GSAx
-1.84
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.47
GSAx
+1.47

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:31Penalty
  • 1st 9:49Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 2nd 11:32Penalty
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 2nd 19:35Matt Strome (1–0)low · 19 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 1:20Penalty
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 9:16Penalty
  • 3rd 9:35Ethen Frank (2–0)5v4 · medium · 55 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 10:10Alex Limoges (3–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 12:23Joe Snively (4–0)medium · 30 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 16:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:15Alex Limoges (5–0)5v4 · high · tip · 6 ft · beat Malcolm Subban