AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 23

Charlotte Checkers at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Charlotte Checkers
3:2
Final / OT
Providence Bruins

The sheet

CLTPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
3.52.4
High danger
44
Chances
119
Shots
4826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

48Shots on goal26
11Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances4
3.51Expected goals2.45

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st18–64–11–01.1–0.4
2nd13–124–42–31.2–1.3
3rd15–82–40–10.7–0.8
OT2–01–01–00.4–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
48
Saves
45
Allowed
3
xGA
3.51
GSAx
+0.51
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.45
GSAx
+0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:58Zac Dalpe (1–0)low · 20 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 1st 9:31Penalty
  • 1st 14:15Penalty
  • 1st 14:15Penalty
  • 2nd 1:58Penalty
  • 2nd 3:18Reilly Walsh (1–1)5v4 · low · 55 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 5:33Penalty
  • 2nd 7:21Oskar Steen (1–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 2nd 14:49Penalty
  • 2nd 18:23Penalty
  • 3rd 2:22Casey Fitzgerald (2–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • OT 1:47Wilmer Skoog (3–2)grade A · 40 ft · beat Brandon Bussi