AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 23

Syracuse Crunch at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Syracuse Crunch
4:6
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

SYRSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
4.52.6
High danger
55
Chances
1512
Shots
5325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

53Shots on goal25
15Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances5
4.47Expected goals2.56

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17–134–92–31.6–1.5
2nd16–85–21–21.4–0.7
3rd20–46–12–01.5–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR30:00 of the 3rd20:0010:37+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
53
Saves
49
Allowed
4
xGA
4.47
GSAx
+0.47
Hugo Alnefelt
Shots faced
25
Saves
19
Allowed
6
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-3.44

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:37Will Bitten (0–1)high · 15 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 1st 12:47Penalty
  • 1st 14:24Penalty
  • 1st 16:22Felix Robert (1–1)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 19:01Ryan Suzuki (1–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 2nd 0:30Jakub Vrana (1–3)low · 51 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 2nd 2:44Devante Stephens (2–3)low · 23 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 5:49Penalty
  • 2nd 5:49Penalty
  • 2nd 8:54Penalty
  • 2nd 9:59Will Bitten (2–4)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 2nd 11:02Penalty
  • 2nd 15:08Penalty
  • 2nd 17:26Penalty
  • 2nd 17:26Penalty
  • 2nd 17:46Mikhail Abramov (2–5)low · 47 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 3rd 0:14Penalty
  • 3rd 4:46Ilya Usau (3–5)medium · 26 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 14:55Cole Koepke (4–5)medium · 18 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 18:59Will Bitten (4–6)empty net · medium · 23 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt