AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 23

Texas Stars at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Texas Stars
2:4
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

TEXCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
18%82%
xG
2.45.0
High danger
514
Chances
1123
Shots
2345

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal45
11Scoring chances23
5High-danger chances14
2.38Expected goals5.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–184–113–51.1–2.0
2nd9–146–72–61.0–1.9
3rd3–131–50–30.2–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX119:17 of the 3rd0:430:43+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
45
Saves
41
Allowed
4
xGA
5.00
GSAx
+1.00
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
2.38
GSAx
+0.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties