AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 24

Calgary Wranglers at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Calgary Wranglers
8:4
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CGYSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
85%15%
xG
3.91.5
High danger
93
Chances
176
Shots
3419

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal19
17Scoring chances6
9High-danger chances3
3.90Expected goals1.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–64–03–01.3–0.2
2nd8–65–13–01.2–0.4
3rd12–78–53–31.3–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD30:00 of the 3rd20:0019:09+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
22
Saves
17
Allowed
5
xGA
2.55
GSAx
-2.45
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
19
Saves
15
Allowed
4
xGA
1.53
GSAx
-2.47
Calle Clang
Shots faced
12
Saves
9
Allowed
3
xGA
1.35
GSAx
-1.65

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:00Penalty
  • 1st 6:53Glenn Gawdin (0–1)4v5 · low · 46 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 8:05Mitch McLain (1–1)high · 4 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 9:03Ilya Solovyov (2–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 9:33Penalty
  • 1st 9:40Glenn Gawdin (2–2)5v4 · low · 55 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 12:59Penalty
  • 1st 15:26Penalty
  • 1st 18:35Penalty
  • 1st 18:35Penalty
  • 1st 19:15Penalty
  • 2nd 2:32Penalty
  • 2nd 6:53Penalty
  • 2nd 7:12Mitch McLain (3–2)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 8:34Penalty
  • 2nd 8:34Penalty
  • 2nd 8:34Penalty
  • 2nd 8:34Penalty
  • 2nd 17:19Mitch McLain (4–2)high · 9 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 18:53Ilya Solovyov (5–2)low · 49 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 19:52Penalty
  • 3rd 0:38Glenn Gawdin (5–3)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 1:29Jakob Pelletier (6–3)high · rebound · 25 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 5:26Penalty
  • 3rd 6:54Penalty
  • 3rd 6:54Penalty
  • 3rd 6:54Penalty
  • 3rd 6:54Penalty
  • 3rd 7:04Jérémie Poirier (7–3)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 11:15Nathan Gaucher (7–4)medium · 13 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 11:43Penalty
  • 3rd 11:43Penalty
  • 3rd 17:47Adam Klapka (8–4)empty net · high · 7 ft · beat Calle Clang