AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 27

Toronto Marlies at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Toronto Marlies
2:1
Final / OT
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

TORMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.52.4
High danger
33
Chances
811
Shots
1928

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances3
2.49Expected goals2.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–94–32–01.2–0.6
2nd5–42–30–10.4–0.5
3rd2–151–50–20.2–1.3
OT4–01–01–00.7–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
2.41
GSAx
+1.41
Shots faced
19
Saves
17
Allowed
2
xGA
2.49
GSAx
+0.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:14Tate Singleton (1–0)grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 8:29Penalty
  • 1st 17:54Penalty
  • 1st 19:52Penalty
  • 1st 19:52Penalty
  • 2nd 5:13Jeffrey Viel (1–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 6:48Penalty
  • 2nd 8:52Penalty
  • 2nd 15:59Penalty
  • 3rd 5:50Penalty
  • OT 0:51Logan Shaw (2–1)low · 6 ft · beat Thomas Milic