AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 29

Providence Bruins at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Providence Bruins
7:4
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

PROUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
42%58%
xG
2.13.0
High danger
44
Chances
711
Shots
2031

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal31
7Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances4
2.13Expected goals3.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–100–30–00.2–0.8
2nd5–103–11–10.7–0.6
3rd10–114–73–31.2–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC32:50 of the 3rd17:1017:10+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.00
GSAx
-1.00
Nico Daws
Shots faced
20
Saves
13
Allowed
7
xGA
2.13
GSAx
-4.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:10Nathan Légaré (0–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 1st 13:51Penalty
  • 1st 15:01Penalty
  • 1st 19:28Anthony Richard (1–1)low · 30 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 2nd 12:24Penalty
  • 2nd 13:32Jayson Megna (2–1)4v5 · medium · 12 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 16:13Marc McLaughlin (3–1)medium · 28 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 1:20Penalty
  • 3rd 1:45Penalty
  • 3rd 2:50Oskar Steen (4–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 5:13Penalty
  • 3rd 7:01Oskar Steen (5–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 11:35Kyle Criscuolo (5–2)low · 40 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 14:16Filip Engaras (5–3)grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 16:59Kyle Criscuolo (5–4)medium · 21 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 17:37Jayson Megna (6–4)empty net · low · 50 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 17:53Anthony Richard (7–4)low · 40 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 19:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:41Penalty