AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 29

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:4
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
1.43.1
High danger
34
Chances
412
Shots
1626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal26
4Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances4
1.38Expected goals3.12

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–151–60–20.3–1.8
2nd5–52–32–10.6–0.7
3rd7–61–31–10.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael Hutchinson
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
3.12
GSAx
-0.88
Keith Kinkaid
Shots faced
16
Saves
14
Allowed
2
xGA
1.38
GSAx
-0.62

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:11Riley Sawchuk (1–0)medium · 29 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
  • 1st 4:19Matt Luff (2–0)low · 29 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
  • 1st 5:27Penalty
  • 1st 10:36Penalty
  • 1st 11:13Max Comtois (2–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 22 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 1st 13:00Penalty
  • 1st 13:10Rocco Grimaldi (2–2)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 1st 16:16Penalty
  • 2nd 8:14Penalty
  • 2nd 15:09Penalty
  • 3rd 0:42Rocco Grimaldi (2–3)high · 10 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 3rd 3:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 17:42Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Josh Melnick (2–4)empty net · low · 144 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson