AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 30

Hershey Bears at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Hershey Bears
2:1
Final / SO
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

HERHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.53.2
High danger
45
Chances
911
Shots
2533

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal33
9Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances5
2.53Expected goals3.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–153–61–30.5–1.6
2nd3–91–20–10.2–0.7
3rd12–85–33–11.4–0.8
OT5–10–00–00.4–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
32
Allowed
1
xGA
3.23
GSAx
+2.23
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.53
GSAx
+1.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:29Ethen Frank (1–0)high · 20 ft · beat Olof Lindbom
  • 1st 6:30Penalty
  • 1st 17:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 2nd 5:07Penalty
  • 2nd 6:06Brennan Othmann (1–1)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 11:08Penalty
  • 2nd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:18Penalty
  • 3rd 17:39Penalty
  • OT 0:16Penalty
  • OT 4:14Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty