AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 30

Abbotsford Canucks at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Abbotsford Canucks
5:1
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

ABBCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
2.52.1
High danger
55
Chances
128
Shots
1824

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal24
12Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances5
2.48Expected goals2.12

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–72–11–00.7–0.4
2nd4–113–52–40.6–1.3
3rd11–67–22–11.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL213:34 of the 3rd6:266:26+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
2.12
GSAx
+1.12
Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
18
Saves
13
Allowed
5
xGA
2.48
GSAx
-2.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:33Max Sasson (1–0)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 4:36Penalty
  • 2nd 5:31Tanner Kero (1–1)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 7:21Penalty
  • 2nd 7:21Penalty
  • 2nd 7:21Penalty
  • 2nd 13:57Penalty
  • 2nd 13:57Penalty
  • 2nd 13:57Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Aatu Räty (2–1)high · 8 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 4:47Penalty
  • 3rd 12:56Penalty
  • 3rd 13:34Linus Karlsson (3–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 13:57Penalty
  • 3rd 17:26Linus Karlsson (4–1)empty net · low · 125 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 19:14Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:58Matt Irwin (5–1)empty net · low · 156 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov