Coachella Valley Firebirds at Henderson Silver Knights

The Dollar Loan Center · Henderson, NV

Coachella Valley Firebirds

3:2

Final

Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

CVHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

72%28%

xG: 3.32.2
High danger: 85
Chances: 129
Shots: 3625

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HSK above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal25

12Scoring chances9

8High-danger chances5

3.28Expected goals2.23

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–4	2–1	1–1	0.8–0.3
2nd	14–13	2–6	1–3	0.7–1.3
3rd	12–8	8–2	6–1	1.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HSK	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:01	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Isaiah Saville

Shots faced: 36
Saves: 33
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.28
GSAx: +0.28

Chris Driedger

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.23
GSAx: +0.23

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:44Andrew Poturalski (1–0)low · snap · 36 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
1st 8:24Ryan Dzingel (1–1)high · wrist · 18 ft · beat Chris Driedger
1st 10:05Kole Lind (2–1)low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
1st 12:43Penalty
2nd 6:48Penalty
2nd 13:03Penalty
2nd 19:26Ville Ottavainen (3–1)low · wrist · 59 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
3rd 4:22Penalty
3rd 13:28Penalty
3rd 16:06Sheldon Rempal (3–2)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Chris Driedger