AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, April 2

Colorado Eagles at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Colorado Eagles
3:5
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

COLTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.52.4
High danger
33
Chances
811
Shots
2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances3
2.49Expected goals2.45

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–93–21–10.9–0.6
2nd11–85–42–21.4–0.9
3rd4–100–50–00.2–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:59 of the 3rd3:013:01+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ben Kraws
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.49
GSAx
-0.51
Arvid Holm
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
2.45
GSAx
-2.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:37Penalty
  • 1st 16:46Jason Polin (1–0)low · 33 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 1st 18:32Fredrik Karlström (1–1)medium · 7 ft · beat Arvid Holm
  • 2nd 3:28Penalty
  • 2nd 10:29Nicholas Caamano (1–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Arvid Holm
  • 2nd 14:00Peter Holland (2–2)medium · 5 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 14:29Penalty
  • 2nd 15:10Penalty
  • 3rd 2:38Nicholas Caamano (2–3)low · 24 ft · beat Arvid Holm
  • 3rd 3:17Penalty
  • 3rd 11:56Jack Ahcan (3–3)low · 33 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 3rd 14:30Penalty
  • 3rd 16:59Nicholas Caamano (3–4)medium · 19 ft · beat Arvid Holm
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Nicholas Caamano (3–5)empty net · low · 130 ft · beat Arvid Holm