AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 3

Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves
4:5
Final / OT
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
2.74.0
High danger
35
Chances
1314
Shots
2337

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal37
13Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances5
2.69Expected goals3.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–83–01–00.7–0.4
2nd5–154–81–20.7–1.9
3rd7–115–41–20.9–1.1
OT4–31–20–10.4–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:042:51+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Antti Raanta
Shots faced
37
Saves
32
Allowed
5
xGA
3.97
GSAx
-1.03
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
23
Saves
19
Allowed
4
xGA
2.69
GSAx
-1.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:53Penalty
  • 2nd 1:56Penalty
  • 2nd 9:58Cavan Fitzgerald (1–0)medium · snap · 13 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 11:31Jonatan Berggren (1–1)low · wrist · 50 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 2nd 15:30Josh Melnick (2–1)high · tip · 4 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 16:18Penalty
  • 2nd 17:24Penalty
  • 2nd 18:24Cory Conacher (3–1)4v5 · medium · 36 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 1:30Jonatan Berggren (3–2)medium · wrist · 10 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 3rd 4:53Matt Luff (3–3)low · 41 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 3rd 11:30Penalty
  • 3rd 11:39Chris Terry (4–3)5v4 · medium · slap · 46 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 19:47Jonatan Berggren (4–4)high · 58 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • OT 4:30Brogan Rafferty (4–5)grade A · wrist · rebound · 9 ft · beat Antti Raanta