AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, April 4

San Jose Barracuda at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Jose Barracuda
1:3
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SJCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
2.94.3
High danger
57
Chances
1314
Shots
3542

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal42
13Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances7
2.93Expected goals4.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–112–40–30.6–1.2
2nd10–154–42–20.8–1.5
3rd14–167–63–21.5–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
42
Saves
39
Allowed
3
xGA
4.34
GSAx
+1.34
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
35
Saves
34
Allowed
1
xGA
2.93
GSAx
+1.93

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:57Penalty
  • 1st 12:53Penalty
  • 1st 12:53Penalty
  • 2nd 1:57Penalty
  • 2nd 1:57Penalty
  • 2nd 1:57Penalty
  • 2nd 4:53Tanner Kaspick (1–0)medium · rebound · 53 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 15:03Penalty
  • 2nd 16:33Penalty
  • 3rd 1:08Penalty
  • 3rd 6:49Jacob Melanson (1–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 7:49Penalty
  • 3rd 10:02Cameron Hughes (1–2)high · 13 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 11:04Penalty
  • 3rd 13:33Penalty
  • 3rd 18:00Kole Lind (1–3)low · 22 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty