AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 6

Springfield Thunderbirds at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Springfield Thunderbirds
4:7
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

SPRLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
59%41%
xG
4.23.7
High danger
116
Chances
1715
Shots
3437

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal37
17Scoring chances15
11High-danger chances6
4.21Expected goals3.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–174–63–31.0–1.5
2nd16–89–56–22.5–1.0
3rd8–124–42–10.8–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
37
Saves
30
Allowed
7
xGA
3.69
GSAx
-3.31
Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
4.21
GSAx
+0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:39Penalty
  • 1st 2:39Penalty
  • 1st 2:45Penalty
  • 1st 2:45Penalty
  • 1st 4:04Mitchell Stephens (0–1)high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 7:21David Reinbacher (0–2)low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 8:40Penalty
  • 1st 9:34Penalty
  • 1st 11:06Mikhail Abramov (1–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 28 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 13:14Penalty
  • 1st 14:31Penalty
  • 1st 19:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:19Penalty
  • 2nd 1:03Adam Gaudette (2–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 39 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 6:10Arnaud Durandeau (2–3)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 7:16Philippe Maillet (2–4)medium · snap · 21 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 11:40Adam Gaudette (3–4)grade A · wrist · 194 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 12:25Joseph Duszak (4–4)high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 12:49Penalty
  • 2nd 16:27Penalty
  • 2nd 16:27Penalty
  • 2nd 16:27Penalty
  • 2nd 16:27Penalty
  • 2nd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 6:37Arnaud Durandeau (4–5)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 9:44Penalty
  • 3rd 10:25Mitchell Stephens (4–6)5v4 · medium · tip · 11 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 18:49Mitchell Stephens (4–7)empty net · low · wrist · 158 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty