AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 6

Hartford Wolf Pack at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Hartford Wolf Pack
0:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

HFDCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
1.52.8
High danger
26
Chances
710
Shots
1934

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal34
7Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances6
1.50Expected goals2.81

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–111–40–30.3–1.1
2nd8–135–32–21.0–0.9
3rd4–101–30–10.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD31:29 of the 3rd18:3118:31+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.80
GSAx
-1.20
Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
19
Saves
19
Allowed
0
xGA
1.50
GSAx
+1.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:11Penalty
  • 1st 8:10Penalty
  • 1st 12:00Penalty
  • 1st 15:09Penalty
  • 1st 15:09Penalty
  • 1st 15:09Penalty
  • 1st 17:26Gerry Mayhew (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 18:29Penalty
  • 1st 19:28Penalty
  • 2nd 5:31Penalty
  • 2nd 9:30Penalty
  • 2nd 12:00Mackie Samoskevich (0–2)high · 13 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Gerry Mayhew (0–3)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 10:14Will Lockwood (0–4)medium · 8 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 16:04Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty