AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 6

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
6:3
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

WBSBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
82%18%
xG
3.81.8
High danger
73
Chances
176
Shots
3320

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal20
17Scoring chances6
7High-danger chances3
3.84Expected goals1.76

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–57–13–01.7–0.4
2nd9–83–22–20.8–0.7
3rd13–77–32–11.4–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI36:31 of the 3rd13:2911:04+0.019 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ludovic Waeber
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.76
GSAx
-1.24
Ken Appleby
Shots faced
17
Saves
14
Allowed
3
xGA
1.81
GSAx
-1.19
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
16
Saves
13
Allowed
3
xGA
2.04
GSAx
-0.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:06Penalty
  • 1st 2:59Vinnie Hinostroza (1–0)5v4 · low · 33 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 4:50Evan Vierling (2–0)medium · 17 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 6:19Penalty
  • 1st 8:06Austin Rueschhoff (3–0)5v4 · grade A · 23 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 11:56Penalty
  • 1st 17:25Daylan Kuefler (3–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
  • 2nd 4:23Penalty
  • 2nd 12:11William Dufour (3–2)high · rebound · 15 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
  • 2nd 17:54Penalty
  • 2nd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 3:07Austin Rueschhoff (4–2)medium · 20 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 3rd 6:31Jagger Joshua (5–2)medium · rebound · 35 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 3rd 9:44Matthew Maggio (5–3)medium · rebound · 33 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
  • 3rd 12:02Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Penalty
  • 3rd 14:39Penalty
  • 3rd 16:31Penalty
  • 3rd 19:37Austin Rueschhoff (6–3)empty net · low · 84 ft · beat Ken Appleby