AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 6

Hershey Bears at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Hershey Bears
3:2
Final / SO
Iowa Wild

The sheet

HERIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
3.02.7
High danger
34
Chances
1312
Shots
2726

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal26
13Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances4
3.03Expected goals2.74

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–104–50–21.0–1.1
2nd7–74–40–10.7–0.8
3rd7–65–33–11.2–0.6
OT2–30–00–00.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
3.03
GSAx
+1.03
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.74
GSAx
+0.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:27Penalty
  • 1st 3:27Penalty
  • 1st 3:27Penalty
  • 1st 4:17Vladislav Firstov (0–1)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 12:30Penalty
  • 1st 13:05Chase Priskie (1–1)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Zane McIntyre
  • 1st 13:18Penalty
  • 1st 17:46Penalty
  • 2nd 1:43Penalty
  • 2nd 3:35Penalty
  • 2nd 6:57Penalty
  • 2nd 10:54Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Penalty
  • 2nd 18:09Alex Limoges (2–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Zane McIntyre
  • 3rd 10:48Gavin Hain (2–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 11:26Penalty
  • 3rd 17:12Penalty