AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 6

Rochester Americans at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Rochester Americans
3:2
Final / OT
Providence Bruins

The sheet

ROCPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
3.43.6
High danger
45
Chances
1115
Shots
3435

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal35
11Scoring chances15
4High-danger chances5
3.40Expected goals3.56

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–103–41–10.8–0.9
2nd12–145–42–11.4–1.1
3rd11–112–70–30.6–1.6
OT1–01–01–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.56
GSAx
+1.56
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.40
GSAx
+0.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:34Penalty
  • 1st 18:16Penalty
  • 1st 18:16Penalty
  • 1st 19:29Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Ian Mitchell (0–1)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 1:15Penalty
  • 2nd 10:55Linus Weissbach (1–1)grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 13:28Jayson Megna (1–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 6:40Penalty
  • 3rd 9:56Anton Wahlberg (2–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 17:20Penalty
  • 3rd 19:20Penalty
  • OT 0:46Michael Mersch (3–2)5v4 · grade A · 15 ft · beat Michael DiPietro