AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, April 7

Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Chicago Wolves
2:3
Final / OT
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

CHIMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
4.22.7
High danger
82
Chances
168
Shots
3525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal25
16Scoring chances8
8High-danger chances2
4.23Expected goals2.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–106–44–01.2–0.7
2nd11–53–20–10.9–0.6
3rd14–67–14–12.1–1.1
OT1–40–10–00.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB116:56 of the 3rd3:042:07+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Thomas Milic
Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
4.23
GSAx
+2.23
Antti Raanta
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.71
GSAx
-0.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:10Penalty
  • 1st 9:54Kyle Capobianco (0–1)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 1st 10:43Penalty
  • 1st 10:43Penalty
  • 1st 13:32Penalty
  • 1st 13:32Penalty
  • 1st 15:47Penalty
  • 1st 16:30Penalty
  • 2nd 10:49Penalty
  • 3rd 0:53Hudson Elynuik (1–1)medium · rebound · 28 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 2:58Penalty
  • 3rd 6:59Penalty
  • 3rd 10:39Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Hudson Elynuik (2–1)grade A · 194 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 17:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:03C.J. Suess (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • OT 1:26Ville Heinola (2–3)medium · rebound · 13 ft · beat Antti Raanta