AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 10

Belleville Senators at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Belleville Senators
3:2
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

BELTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
53%47%
xG
3.12.6
High danger
57
Chances
119
Shots
3127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal27
11Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances7
3.08Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–112–42–30.6–1.2
2nd9–114–51–40.7–1.2
3rd12–54–01–01.2–0.2
OT2–01–01–00.6–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.08
GSAx
+0.08
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.60
GSAx
+0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:36Topi Niemelä (0–1)high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 8:24Penalty
  • 1st 15:44Penalty
  • 1st 15:44Penalty
  • 1st 15:44Penalty
  • 1st 18:46Penalty
  • 2nd 2:43Nick Abruzzese (0–2)high · 15 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 12:29Josh Currie (1–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 13:12Penalty
  • 2nd 18:27Penalty
  • 3rd 7:46Penalty
  • 3rd 9:07Wyatt Bongiovanni (2–2)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • OT 1:56Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–2)grade A · 36 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby