AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 10

Henderson Silver Knights at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
5:6
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

HSKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
66%34%
xG
3.62.6
High danger
63
Chances
1512
Shots
3627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal27
15Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances3
3.62Expected goals2.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–77–31–01.5–0.6
2nd11–134–82–21.0–1.4
3rd13–74–13–11.1–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
31
Allowed
5
xGA
3.62
GSAx
-1.38
Shots faced
27
Saves
21
Allowed
6
xGA
2.63
GSAx
-3.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:18Penalty
  • 1st 8:31Cole Cassels (0–1)5v4 · medium · 53 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 11:20Penalty
  • 1st 13:13Penalty
  • 1st 14:33Jonas Røndbjerg (1–1)4v5 · medium · 29 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 18:27Penalty
  • 2nd 3:39Penalty
  • 2nd 5:01Jakub Brabenec (2–1)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 9:02Penalty
  • 2nd 10:17Nathan Todd (2–2)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 14:09Tristen Robins (2–3)high · 12 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 19:18Ethan Cardwell (2–4)medium · 20 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 1:58Daniil Chayka (3–4)low · 33 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 2:40Mason Morelli (4–4)high · 21 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 5:29Mason Morelli (5–4)medium · 9 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 12:02Danil Gushchin (5–5)low · 41 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 13:57Penalty
  • 3rd 14:31Ethan Cardwell (5–6)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 17:45Penalty