AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 12

San Diego Gulls at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

San Diego Gulls
3:4
Final / OT
Ontario Reign

The sheet

SDONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
2.63.2
High danger
54
Chances
1010
Shots
3039

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal39
10Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances4
2.61Expected goals3.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–163–42–30.8–1.1
2nd9–123–32–00.8–0.9
3rd10–73–21–10.8–0.8
OT3–41–10–00.3–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
35
Allowed
4
xGA
3.19
GSAx
-0.81
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.61
GSAx
-0.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:15Penalty
  • 1st 10:53Francesco Pinelli (0–1)low · 55 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 6:21Drew Helleson (1–1)low · 45 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 6:46Penalty
  • 2nd 7:03Samuel Fagemo (1–2)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 11:00Penalty
  • 2nd 15:14Penalty
  • 2nd 15:14Penalty
  • 2nd 16:49Penalty
  • 2nd 17:10Trevor Carrick (2–2)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 3rd 2:48Penalty
  • 3rd 4:58Taylor Ward (2–3)grade A · 44 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 7:40Pavol Regenda (3–3)medium · 26 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • OT 2:57Penalty
  • OT 3:18Penalty
  • OT 4:01Samuel Fagemo (3–4)5v4 · low · 29 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek