AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 13

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
3:1
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
3.62.3
High danger
75
Chances
1310
Shots
2822

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal22
13Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances5
3.62Expected goals2.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–56–14–11.6–0.3
2nd9–105–53–11.4–0.9
3rd8–72–40–30.7–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
3.53
GSAx
+1.53
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
2.35
GSAx
+1.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:38Penalty
  • 1st 9:58Penalty
  • 2nd 0:57Marco Kasper (1–0)low · 41 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 10:32Nathan Sucese (1–1)high · 12 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 14:56Penalty
  • 3rd 16:49Matt Luff (2–1)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 17:41Marco Kasper (3–1)empty net · low · 38 ft
  • 3rd 18:42Penalty