AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, April 14

Charlotte Checkers at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Charlotte Checkers
2:5
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

CLTHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
1.72.7
High danger
25
Chances
613
Shots
2525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal25
6Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances5
1.69Expected goals2.72

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–70–40–10.3–0.7
2nd10–113–51–20.6–1.2
3rd8–73–41–20.8–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT33:55 of the 3rd16:0516:05+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.69
GSAx
-0.31
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.72
GSAx
-2.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:49Penalty
  • 1st 10:19Penalty
  • 1st 14:37Penalty
  • 2nd 0:43Casey Fitzgerald (1–0)medium · 16 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 2:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:13Penalty
  • 2nd 9:06Adam Edström (1–1)5v4 · medium · 41 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 10:35Penalty
  • 2nd 10:35Penalty
  • 2nd 14:33Brett Berard (1–2)5v4 · low · 30 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 15:17Penalty
  • 2nd 16:28Adam Edström (1–3)4v5 · medium · 15 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 19:57Penalty
  • 3rd 3:55Jaroslav Chmelar (1–4)medium · 33 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 6:36Brennan Othmann (1–5)low · 19 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 13:13Rasmus Asplund (2–5)low · 49 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 16:18Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty