AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, April 14

San Diego Gulls at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Diego Gulls
1:2
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SDCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
2.61.9
High danger
41
Chances
98
Shots
3022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal22
9Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances1
2.57Expected goals1.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–73–12–01.0–0.4
2nd14–76–32–11.3–0.7
3rd5–80–40–00.2–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD117:33 of the 3rd2:272:27+0.051 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleš Stezka
Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
2.57
GSAx
+1.57
Calle Clang
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.89
GSAx
-0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:14Penalty
  • 1st 2:55Penalty
  • 1st 2:55Penalty
  • 1st 9:09Penalty
  • 1st 14:44Penalty
  • 2nd 0:18Drew Helleson (1–0)low · 63 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 1:32Penalty
  • 2nd 5:44Cameron Hughes (1–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 6:54Penalty
  • 2nd 6:54Penalty
  • 3rd 17:33Jani Nyman (1–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Calle Clang