AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, April 17

Ontario Reign at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Ontario Reign
4:3
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

ONTBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
3.43.1
High danger
24
Chances
811
Shots
4027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances4
3.43Expected goals3.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–122–81–30.8–2.0
2nd11–83–20–00.8–0.6
3rd16–72–11–11.5–0.5
OT3–01–00–00.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Jack Campbell
Shots faced
40
Saves
36
Allowed
4
xGA
3.43
GSAx
-0.57
Erik Portillo
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
3.08
GSAx
+0.08

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:44Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Samuel Fagemo (1–0)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 1st 17:35Matvey Petrov (1–1)high · tip · 15 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 1:25Raphael Lavoie (1–2)medium · wrist · 16 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 9:29Penalty
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Penalty
  • 3rd 9:03Francesco Pinelli (2–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · 5 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 9:49Penalty
  • 3rd 9:53Brandt Clarke (3–2)5v4 · low · wrist · 60 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 3rd 13:49Penalty
  • 3rd 13:49Penalty
  • 3rd 14:57Ty Tullio (3–3)high · wrist · 20 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • OT 2:04Martin Chromiak (4–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Jack Campbell