AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 19

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:3
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

WBSHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
2.14.3
High danger
212
Chances
717
Shots
2435

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal35
7Scoring chances17
2High-danger chances12
2.08Expected goals4.29

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–121–20–10.2–0.9
2nd6–93–62–30.9–1.2
3rd15–143–90–81.0–2.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
4.29
GSAx
+1.29
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.08
GSAx
+0.08

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:28Penalty
  • 1st 9:11Penalty
  • 1st 18:39Penalty
  • 2nd 4:37Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Penalty
  • 2nd 11:47Penalty
  • 2nd 17:26Bryan Yoon (0–1)high · rebound · 11 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 0:43Nikolas Brouillard (0–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 2:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:08Penalty
  • 3rd 5:52Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Jack Rathbone (1–2)low · 36 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 8:37Austin Rueschhoff (2–2)medium · 7 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 12:04Penalty
  • 3rd 12:59Penalty
  • 3rd 13:22Nic Petan (2–3)5v4 · grade A · 39 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 13:50Penalty
  • 3rd 13:50Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Penalty