Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch

4:3

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

67%33%

xG: 1.82.0
High danger: 41
Chances: 75
Shots: 1532

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

15Shots on goal32

7Scoring chances5

4High-danger chances1

1.78Expected goals2.00

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–11	1–3	1–1	0.4–0.9
2nd	6–8	4–0	2–0	0.8–0.3
3rd	5–13	2–2	1–0	0.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 19
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.96
GSAx: +0.96

Hugo Alnefelt

Shots faced: 13
Saves: 10
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.04
GSAx: -1.96

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 11
Saves: 9
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.38
GSAx: -0.62

Akira Schmid

Shots faced: 4
Saves: 2
Allowed: 2
xGA: 0.41
GSAx: -1.59

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:08Penalty
1st 5:11Shane Bowers (0–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
1st 6:33Lucas Edmonds (1–1)low · 45 ft · beat Akira Schmid
1st 8:22Xavier Parent (1–2)medium · 27 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
1st 11:04Penalty
1st 11:04Penalty
1st 14:33Jack Finley (2–2)grade A · 19 ft · beat Akira Schmid
1st 18:23Penalty
2nd 3:08Robbie Russo (2–3)low · 45 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
2nd 5:58Penalty
2nd 9:05Waltteri Merelä (3–3)medium · 29 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 14:21Penalty
2nd 16:07Gabriel Fortier (4–3)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 2:20Penalty
3rd 19:58Penalty