AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 19

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
2:5
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.43.3
High danger
37
Chances
717
Shots
2333

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal33
7Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances7
2.42Expected goals3.25

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–90–50–20.3–0.9
2nd11–134–82–41.5–1.5
3rd7–113–41–10.6–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Antti Raanta
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.25
GSAx
-1.75
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
2.42
GSAx
+0.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:01Austin Strand (0–1)medium · 33 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 1st 8:54Rocco Grimaldi (1–1)low · 27 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 12:19Rem Pitlick (1–2)high · 13 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 1st 15:13Penalty
  • 2nd 4:16Colton Dach (1–3)low · 50 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 2nd 4:27Penalty
  • 2nd 6:12Penalty
  • 2nd 12:45Penalty
  • 2nd 14:07Penalty
  • 2nd 14:09Ronan Seeley (2–3)low · rebound · 51 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 14:28Brett Seney (2–4)high · 17 ft · beat Antti Raanta
  • 3rd 0:34Penalty
  • 3rd 1:40Penalty
  • 3rd 8:15Penalty
  • 3rd 10:52Penalty
  • 3rd 14:41Penalty
  • 3rd 18:13Jalen Luypen (2–5)empty net · medium · 16 ft · beat Antti Raanta