AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 19

Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Manitoba Moose
8:3
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

MBTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
5.42.6
High danger
133
Chances
2211
Shots
3525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal25
22Scoring chances11
13High-danger chances3
5.36Expected goals2.64

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–122–61–10.6–1.3
2nd14–811–47–22.8–0.8
3rd14–59–15–02.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
35
Saves
27
Allowed
8
xGA
5.36
GSAx
-2.64
Thomas Milic
Shots faced
18
Saves
17
Allowed
1
xGA
1.67
GSAx
+0.67
Oskari Salminen
Shots faced
7
Saves
5
Allowed
2
xGA
0.96
GSAx
-1.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:02Emilio Pettersen (0–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 1st 10:21Penalty
  • 1st 13:01Penalty
  • 1st 13:59Matěj Blümel (0–2)5v4 · grade A · 28 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 1st 19:16Kristian Reichel (1–2)low · 14 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 2:33Penalty
  • 2nd 2:33Penalty
  • 2nd 3:00Jeff Malott (2–2)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 3:46Kristian Reichel (3–2)low · 41 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 9:12Parker Ford (4–2)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 12:54Penalty
  • 2nd 12:54Penalty
  • 2nd 13:26Penalty
  • 2nd 16:48Penalty
  • 2nd 16:48Penalty
  • 2nd 17:39Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Colby Barlow (5–2)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 3rd 1:42Penalty
  • 3rd 3:08Dominic Toninato (6–2)5v4 · medium · 53 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 5:13Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 8:35Penalty
  • 3rd 9:30Ville Heinola (7–2)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 12:55Penalty
  • 3rd 12:55Penalty
  • 3rd 12:55Penalty
  • 3rd 12:55Penalty
  • 3rd 12:55Penalty
  • 3rd 14:54Simon Lundmark (8–2)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 19:04Fredrik Karlström (8–3)low · 58 ft · beat Thomas Milic