AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 20

Utica Comets at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Utica Comets
5:2
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

UTCSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
9%91%
xG
1.54.0
High danger
16
Chances
413
Shots
1839

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal39
4Scoring chances13
1High-danger chances6
1.52Expected goals4.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–160–40–20.1–1.6
2nd9–113–50–20.8–1.3
3rd6–121–41–20.6–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Akira Schmid
Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
4.02
GSAx
+2.02
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
18
Saves
13
Allowed
5
xGA
1.52
GSAx
-3.48

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:03Waltteri Merelä (0–1)low · 22 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 3:23Penalty
  • 1st 3:23Penalty
  • 1st 3:23Penalty
  • 1st 3:23Penalty
  • 2nd 4:08Penalty
  • 2nd 6:13Brian Halonen (1–1)medium · 21 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 7:22Nolan Stevens (2–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 12:33Penalty
  • 2nd 12:33Penalty
  • 2nd 13:03Penalty
  • 3rd 9:07Dylan Wendt (3–1)low · 33 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 9:15Penalty
  • 3rd 12:56Ryan Schmelzer (4–1)low · 41 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 14:03Max Crozier (4–2)grade A · rebound · 22 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 17:55Xavier Parent (5–2)empty net · low · 33 ft · beat Brandon Halverson