AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 20

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
5:4
Final / OT
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
76%24%
xG
4.82.7
High danger
85
Chances
1612
Shots
4027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal27
16Scoring chances12
8High-danger chances5
4.81Expected goals2.72

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–115–42–21.2–1.1
2nd9–134–71–20.8–1.3
3rd19–36–14–12.3–0.3
OT1–01–01–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV30:00 of the 3rd20:0011:28+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Alex Stalock
Shots faced
40
Saves
35
Allowed
5
xGA
4.81
GSAx
-0.19
Aleš Stezka
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.72
GSAx
-1.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:49Jan Myšák (0–1)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 1st 8:30Sasha Pastujov (0–2)low · 31 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 1st 16:17Penalty
  • 2nd 0:43Andrew Agozzino (0–3)low · 56 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 8:46Penalty
  • 2nd 8:46Penalty
  • 2nd 8:46Penalty
  • 2nd 11:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 15:11Tucker Robertson (1–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 2nd 16:06Pavol Regenda (1–4)medium · 25 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 3rd 4:38Jani Nyman (2–4)medium · 17 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 3rd 4:50Penalty
  • 3rd 14:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:37Penalty
  • 3rd 16:01Shane Wright (3–4)5v4 · high · 27 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 3rd 16:47Penalty
  • 3rd 16:47Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Shane Wright (4–4)grade A · 14 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • OT 1:25Marian Studenic (5–4)grade A · 31 ft · beat Alex Stalock