AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 20

Henderson Silver Knights at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
3:5
Final
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

HSKBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.23.0
High danger
24
Chances
710
Shots
2233

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal33
7Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances4
2.19Expected goals3.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–134–41–00.9–1.1
2nd5–100–30–10.4–0.7
3rd9–103–31–31.0–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.01
GSAx
-1.99
Jack Campbell
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-0.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:55Penalty
  • 1st 9:02Carter Savoie (0–1)low · wrist · 27 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 15:38Brendan Brisson (1–1)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 1st 18:56Mason Geertsen (2–1)high · wrist · 13 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 2nd 3:09Xavier Bourgault (2–2)medium · wrist · 9 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 10:00Max Wanner (2–3)low · wrist · 56 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 10:43Brendan Brisson (3–3)low · wrist · 18 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 2nd 12:29Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:26Dino Kambeitz (3–4)4v5 · medium · wrist · 29 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 8:04Penalty
  • 3rd 8:11Brad Malone (3–5)5v4 · grade A · tip · 9 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 10:10Penalty
  • 3rd 15:18Penalty
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty