Charlotte Checkers at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Charlotte Checkers

1:4

Final

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

CLTLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

23%77%

xG: 1.41.8
High danger: 02
Chances: 68
Shots: 2423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LV above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal23

6Scoring chances8

0High-danger chances2

1.39Expected goals1.76

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–7	1–4	0–0	0.3–0.6
2nd	12–12	4–4	0–2	0.8–1.0
3rd	6–4	1–0	0–0	0.3–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLT	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Felix Sandström

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 23
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.39
GSAx: +0.39

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 15
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.60
GSAx: -2.40

Magnus Hellberg

Shots faced: 4
Saves: 4
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.15
GSAx: +0.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 17:27Penalty
1st 17:39Tanner Laczynski (0–1)5v4 · medium · 60 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 3:39Penalty
2nd 6:50Penalty
2nd 9:52Zayde Wisdom (0–2)low · 39 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 9:56Penalty
2nd 13:30Penalty
2nd 14:04Penalty
2nd 14:34Cooper Marody (0–3)5v4 · high · 17 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 19:42Elliot Desnoyers (0–4)high · 11 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 1:18Penalty
3rd 4:51Penalty
3rd 13:56Penalty
3rd 15:53Wilmer Skoog (1–4)5v4 · medium · 12 ft · beat Felix Sandström