AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, April 25

Manitoba Moose at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Manitoba Moose
0:2
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

MBTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
3.62.0
High danger
22
Chances
118
Shots
4122

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

41Shots on goal22
11Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances2
3.57Expected goals1.99

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–63–31–11.0–0.7
2nd16–114–21–11.5–0.9
3rd11–54–30–01.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
41
Saves
41
Allowed
0
xGA
3.57
GSAx
+3.57
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.98
GSAx
-0.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:10Penalty
  • 1st 12:51Fredrik Karlström (0–1)5v4 · low · 48 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 13:48Penalty
  • 2nd 2:02Penalty
  • 2nd 7:57Penalty
  • 2nd 7:57Penalty
  • 2nd 18:34Penalty
  • 3rd 0:27Penalty
  • 3rd 0:45Penalty
  • 3rd 2:31Fredrik Karlström (0–2)5v4 · medium · 12 ft · beat Thomas Milic