AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, April 28

Hartford Wolf Pack at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:1
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

HFDCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.93.4
High danger
65
Chances
1011
Shots
2139

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal39
10Scoring chances11
6High-danger chances5
2.87Expected goals3.42

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–123–41–20.7–1.1
2nd7–153–42–01.0–1.1
3rd8–124–33–31.2–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
38
Allowed
1
xGA
3.42
GSAx
+2.42
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-0.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:10Jaroslav Chmelar (1–0)low · 28 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 17:24Penalty
  • 2nd 1:29Penalty
  • 2nd 1:29Penalty
  • 2nd 2:26Penalty
  • 2nd 13:17Penalty
  • 2nd 15:44Penalty
  • 2nd 15:44Penalty
  • 2nd 18:46Penalty
  • 3rd 2:39Penalty
  • 3rd 4:21Riley Nash (2–0)5v4 · high · 5 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 13:39Penalty
  • 3rd 14:52Brett Berard (3–0)4v5 · high · 2 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 15:37Brendan Perlini (3–1)5v4 · grade A · 168 ft · beat Dylan Garand