AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, May 4

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
1:5
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

LVHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
42%58%
xG
2.52.2
High danger
26
Chances
108
Shots
3016

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal16
10Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances6
2.49Expected goals2.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–96–51–31.3–1.4
2nd8–53–30–30.6–0.7
3rd8–21–01–00.6–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
2.49
GSAx
+1.49
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
16
Saves
11
Allowed
5
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-2.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:47Ethen Frank (0–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 8:18Ethen Frank (0–2)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 8:21Penalty
  • 1st 13:33Penalty
  • 1st 18:45Hunter McDonald (1–2)low · 22 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 4:48Henrik Rybinski (1–3)low · 42 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 10:26Penalty
  • 2nd 13:11Penalty
  • 2nd 15:11Penalty
  • 2nd 15:24Alex Limoges (1–4)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 16:50Penalty
  • 3rd 5:51Penalty
  • 3rd 7:51Penalty
  • 3rd 7:51Penalty
  • 3rd 10:56Penalty
  • 3rd 14:15Penalty
  • 3rd 16:30Hendrix Lapierre (1–5)empty net · low · 39 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty