Syracuse Crunch at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Syracuse Crunch

1:4

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

SYRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

20%80%

xG: 1.02.0
High danger: 12
Chances: 37
Shots: 1828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal28

3Scoring chances7

1High-danger chances2

1.05Expected goals1.96

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–5	1–1	0–1	0.3–0.3
2nd	6–13	2–3	1–1	0.4–0.8
3rd	7–10	0–3	0–0	0.3–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 24
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.96
GSAx: -2.04

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.05
GSAx: +0.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:14Penalty
1st 8:07Devante Stephens (1–0)5v4 · low · slap · 47 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 11:29Billy Sweezey (1–1)low · 49 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 12:45Penalty
1st 15:18Hunter McKown (1–2)high · 14 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 19:34Penalty
1st 19:34Penalty
1st 19:34Penalty
2nd 4:48Penalty
3rd 2:59Penalty
3rd 4:37Jakub Zboril (1–3)5v4 · medium · slap · 50 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 10:05Penalty
3rd 10:05Penalty
3rd 15:14Alex Whelan (1–4)empty net · medium · 26 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 15:39Penalty
3rd 19:43Penalty