AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, May 20

Grand Rapids Griffins at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:5
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

GRMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
2.43.2
High danger
16
Chances
915
Shots
2926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal26
9Scoring chances15
1High-danger chances6
2.43Expected goals3.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–113–71–20.6–1.5
2nd12–82–60–30.9–1.2
3rd11–74–20–10.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.43
GSAx
+0.43
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
3.23
GSAx
-1.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:54Penalty
  • 1st 4:39Egor Afanasyev (0–1)medium · 26 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 12:16Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Fedor Svechkov (0–2)5v4 · medium · 44 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 18:40Penalty
  • 2nd 14:19Penalty
  • 2nd 15:21Penalty
  • 2nd 15:21Zach L’Heureux (0–3)4v5 · high · 9 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 18:31Penalty
  • 2nd 19:39Penalty
  • 2nd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 3:27Marc Del Gaizo (0–4)low · 55 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 11:14Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty
  • 3rd 13:40Penalty
  • 3rd 15:34Carter Mazur (1–4)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 16:50Dominik Shine (2–4)medium · 22 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 19:01Jasper Weatherby (2–5)empty net · medium · 30 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa