AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, May 22

Cleveland Monsters at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Cleveland Monsters
6:4
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

CLESYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
3.03.0
High danger
64
Chances
912
Shots
2729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal29
9Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances4
2.98Expected goals2.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–81–40–20.3–0.9
2nd13–113–53–11.4–1.1
3rd10–105–33–11.3–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR117:42 of the 3rd2:182:18+0.050 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.95
GSAx
-1.05
Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
27
Saves
21
Allowed
6
xGA
2.98
GSAx
-3.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:00Penalty
  • 1st 7:15Penalty
  • 1st 7:15Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Jake Gaudet (1–0)low · 37 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 15:03Penalty
  • 1st 15:03Penalty
  • 1st 15:52Penalty
  • 1st 16:38Alex Barré-Boulet (1–1)5v4 · high · 36 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 10:47Penalty
  • 2nd 11:02Stefan Matteau (2–1)5v4 · low · 56 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 13:03Penalty
  • 2nd 16:47Cole Koepke (2–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 17:52Jordy Bellerive (2–3)high · 14 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 18:11Penalty
  • 3rd 1:02Alex Whelan (3–3)high · 14 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 9:29Josh Dunne (4–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 12:40Penalty
  • 3rd 16:32Alex Barré-Boulet (4–4)high · 18 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 17:42Luca Del Bel Belluz (5–4)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 18:59Roman Ahcan (6–4)empty net · high · 10 ft · beat Matt Tomkins