AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, May 30

Cleveland Monsters at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Cleveland Monsters
4:5
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

CLEHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.73.7
High danger
55
Chances
1016
Shots
2535

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal35
10Scoring chances16
5High-danger chances5
2.67Expected goals3.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–130–50–00.2–1.2
2nd5–105–32–00.9–0.9
3rd13–95–83–51.4–1.5
OT4–30–00–00.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:09 of the 3rd7:517:31+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
3.75
GSAx
-1.25
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
2.68
GSAx
-1.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:27Penalty
  • 1st 4:24Ethen Frank (0–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 10:57Penalty
  • 1st 16:20Penalty
  • 2nd 2:11Penalty
  • 2nd 3:31Hunter McKown (1–1)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 4:52Alex Whelan (2–1)high · 9 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 6:15Aaron Ness (2–2)low · 38 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 11:24Penalty
  • 2nd 15:51Penalty
  • 2nd 17:12Chase Priskie (2–3)5v4 · low · 43 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 1:30Penalty
  • 3rd 7:02Penalty
  • 3rd 8:43Hendrix Lapierre (2–4)5v4 · high · 27 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 9:49Penalty
  • 3rd 11:50Penalty
  • 3rd 17:57Penalty
  • 3rd 18:37Trey Fix-Wolansky (3–4)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 19:40David Jiříček (4–4)high · 35 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • OT 7:58Mike Vecchione (4–5)low · 24 ft · beat Jet Greaves